The runoff election for the presidency of Uruguay is shaping up to be a highly competitive contest between opposition candidate Yamandú Orsi and official candidate Álvaro Delgado. According to a recent survey by Opción Consultores, Orsi has a slight lead of three percentage points over Delgado, with 48.5% compared to 45.1% of intended votes, respectively.
The survey indicates that the difference between the two candidates is within the margin of error, suggesting a tight race ahead of the runoff on November 24. In the presidential elections on October 27, Orsi (FA) obtained 43% of the votes in the first round, becoming the most voted candidate, while Delgado (PN) came in second with 26%, leading them to face off in the second round.
According to Opción Consultores' analysis, it is projected that undecided voters as well as blank or null votes could represent up to 6% of the electorate. The consultancy also highlights a greater loyalty of the coalition bloc compared to previous months, adding an element of uncertainty to the electoral scenario.
Orsi and Delgado are preparing to participate in a television debate this coming Sunday, which will be the first and last face-to-face meeting between the candidates before the second round. Orsi, a 57-year-old history teacher, seeks the return to power of the FA, while Delgado, 55, has held roles as a deputy, senator, and secretary of the presidency under Luis Lacalle Pou, being his bet for the continuity of the official party.
The result of the runoff will determine Lacalle Pou's successor, whose term ends on March 1, 2025, and who cannot run for immediate reelection.
