Politics Country November 15, 2024

Highly Competitive Presidential Runoff in Uruguay

The presidential runoff in Uruguay on November 24 showcases a tight race between opposition candidate Yamandú Orsi and ruling candidate Álvaro Delgado, with polls indicating a very competitive landscape.


Highly Competitive Presidential Runoff in Uruguay

The runoff for the presidency of Uruguay scheduled for the next November 24 presents itself as a "highly competitive" scenario between the opposition candidate Yamandú Orsi, who leads with a voting intention of 47%, and the official candidate Álvaro Delgado with 45%, according to a survey by the consulting firm Factum.

In the first round of the presidential elections on October 27, where the Parliament was also renewed, Orsi, from the left-wing Broad Front (FA), was the most voted candidate with 43%, although he could not avoid the runoff. Delgado, from the right-wing National Party (PN), came in second in that election with 26%, and the other three parties in his coalition together surpassed 20%.

The Factum survey shows a stable trend since the fourth trimester of the year, with Orsi maintaining a lead of between 2 and 4 points over Delgado, always within the margin of error of the survey. Factum concludes that the Uruguayan political scenario is highly contested between the large political areas represented by the candidacies of Orsi and Delgado in this second electoral round.

The Factum survey was conducted between November 4 and 11 with a national sample of 900 cases via mobile phone. The two candidates will participate in a televised debate next Sunday night, the first and last face-to-face of this electoral process, mandatory by law for those who advance to the second round.

Yamandú Orsi is a 57-year-old history teacher who governed the Canelones department in the south of the country for ten years and seeks the return to power of the Broad Front. On the other hand, Álvaro Delgado, a 55-year-old veterinarian, has been a deputy, senator, and secretary of the presidency of Luis Lacalle Pou and is the bet for the continuity of the government.

The runoff will determine the successor to Lacalle Pou (PN), whose term ends on March 1, 2025, and cannot seek immediate reelection.